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TLDR

A net 35,000 Australians moved to regional areas in 2024, driven by young people aged 20-29 fleeing capital city housing markets where Brisbane now exceeds $1 million and regional properties cost 53-81% less. Queensland coastal towns dominate the migration, with areas like Magnetic Island (18.64% growth) and Paradise Point (15.08% growth) leading the charge. The shift represents a fundamental demographic change as young Australians choose to build futures in affordable locations rather than remain priced out of capital city markets

New research reveals the regional hotspots where young Australians aged 20-29 are relocating as capital city property prices surge beyond reach.

Australia's capital cities are experiencing a demographic shift. Over the course of 2024, a net 33,000 people left cities while 35,000 moved to regional areas, driven largely by housing affordability pressures that have hit young Australians hardest.

With Brisbane's median house price now exceeding $1 million and regional properties ranging from 53% (regional NSW) to 81% (regional Tasmania) of capital city prices, young people are making a calculated decision: build their future somewhere they can actually afford to live and buy.

While motivations vary - some relocate for work opportunities, others seek working holidays, and families pursue lifestyle changes - affordability remains the common thread enabling young Australians to make these moves possible.

The research reveals explosive population growth in specific regional areas, with multiple Queensland coastal towns recording 13-18% spikes in 20-29 year olds over just one year.

The Big Numbers
  • 35,000 Net population moved to regional areas in 2024
  • 33,000 Net population left capital cities in 2024
  • 18.64% Highest single-year growth (Magnetic Island, QLD)
  • 70.84% Highest five-year growth (Caloundra West-Baringa, QLD)

Queensland: Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast Capture Growth

Queensland dominates the young regional migration story, with the Gold Coast and Sunshine Coast beachside destinations recording the nation's strongest growth. Two of the state's top five areas sit within 75km of Brisbane, demonstrating young buyers seek beach lifestyle without complete remoteness.

Top 5 Queensland regional areas with surging 20-29 populations:

Area

Location (from Brisbane)

1 Year Change

5 Year Change

1

Magnetic Island

1,121km northwest

18.64%

37.25%

2

Paradise Point - Hollywell

59km southeast

15.08%

12.80%

3

Bouldercombe

503km northwest

14.17%

9.85%

4

Kilkivan

172km northwest

13.65%

24.70%

5

Caloundra West - Baringa

73km northwest

13.59%

70.84%

Paradise Point-Hollywell, a Gold Coast suburb just 59km from Brisbane, posted 15.08% annual growth where beach lifestyle meets affordability. Caloundra West-Baringa's explosive 70.84% five-year surge represents the Sunshine Coast's growing appeal as a beachside living destination.

Victoria: Bellarine Peninsula Leads State

Victoria's growth centres on the Bellarine Peninsula's seaside towns and regional centres within commuting distance of Melbourne. All top five areas recorded double-digit annual growth, with Point Lonsdale-Queenscliff and Barwon Heads posting over 40% five-year surges.

Top 5 Victoria regional areas with surging 20-29 populations:

Area

Location (from Melbourne)

1 Year Change

5 Year Change

1

Point Lonsdale - Queenscliff

57km southwest

16.14%

40.61%

2

Barwon Heads - Armstrong Creek

66km southwest

13.05%

44.84%

3

Avoca

154km northwest

12.99%

2.76%

4

Woodend

64km northwest

12.90%

-15.79%

5

Beechworth

222km northeast

12.55%

-17.75%

Point Lonsdale-Queenscliff, tucked inside Port Phillip Bay on the Bellarine Peninsula just 90 minutes from Melbourne, leads with 16.14% annual growth and 40.61% over five years. Barwon Heads on the Bellarine's southern coast recorded 13.05% annual growth and 44.84% over five years.

Woodend in the Macedon Ranges, one hour from Melbourne CBD, shows 12.90% annual growth reversing a five-year decline. Beechworth, three hours northeast, similarly reversed decline with 12.55% annual growth, proving even remote centres can attract young relocators seeking affordability.

New South Wales: Coastal Living Drives Reversal

After years of young people abandoning regional NSW, 2024 marked a turning point with 1.5% growth across the state's regional areas. All top five areas recorded double-digit annual increases, with coastal beach destinations and rural lifestyle properties dominating.

Top 5 NSW regional areas with surging 20-29 populations:

Area

Location (from Sydney)

1 Year Change

5 Year Change

1

Kiama Downs - Minnamurra

94km southwest

13.17%

-11.64%

2

Redhead

104km northeast

12.95%

11.35%

3

Tea Gardens - Hawks Nest

158km northeast

12.74%

-4.89%

4

Tomerong - Wandandian - Woollamia

146km southwest

11.11%

15.89%

5

Sussex Inlet - Berrara

156km southwest

10.03%

0.00%

Kiama Downs-Minnamurra's reversal from -11.64% decline to +13.17% growth demonstrates how quickly sentiment shifts under affordability pressure. Redhead, a coastal Lake Macquarie suburb, posted 12.95% annual growth. Tea Gardens-Hawks Nest's 12.74% growth is notable given the area's traditional retiree demographic (median age 65), suggesting a changing of the guard.

Berrara, a secluded coastal village on the south coast, forms part of Sussex Inlet-Berrara's 10.03% annual growth. Tomerong-Wandandian-Woollamia in the Shoalhaven attracts buyers seeking small acreage rural lifestyle within reach of Sydney, posting 11.11% annual growth. The pattern is clear: coastal beach destinations or rural acreage properties where young buyers can actually afford to enter the market.

Western Australia: Southwest Concentration

Western Australia's growth centres entirely on the state's southwest, with young West Australians choosing coastal towns and rural centres over mining communities or northern areas. The Margaret River region dominates, with two of the top five areas within 200km of Perth.

Top 5 WA regional areas with surging 20-29 populations:

Area

Location (from Perth)

1 Year Change

5 Year Change

1

Donnybrook - Balingup

180km south

13.85%

11.40%

2

Busselton Surrounds

194km southwest

11.10%

13.92%

3

Irwin

300km north

10.57%

27.39%

4

Northampton - Mullewa - Greenough

417km northwest

9.48%

8.13%

5

Merredin

234km east

7.92%

10.60%

The Margaret River region's appeal is evident, with Busselton Surrounds posting 11.10% annual growth building on 13.92% over five years, while Donnybrook-Balingup leads the state with 13.85% annual growth. Both areas combine coastal or rural lifestyle with wine region proximity.

Irwin, 300km north of Perth, recorded 10.57% annual growth building on a remarkable 27.39% five-year surge, demonstrating even areas hours from Perth can capture young populations when offering the right affordability and opportunity mix.

South Australia: Wine Country and Coastal Appeal

South Australia's wine regions and coastal towns lead the state's young population growth, with all top five areas recording increases over the past year. The Barossa's 19.63% five-year growth demonstrates sustained appeal beyond short-term trends.

Top 5 SA regional areas with surging 20-29 populations:

Area

Location (from Adelaide)

1 Year Change

5 Year Change

1

Yankalilla

63km south

11.63%

6.14%

2

Strathalbyn Surrounds

45km southeast

8.70%

1.97%

3

Wallaroo

142km northwest

8.31%

1.24%

4

Moonta

133km northwest

7.75%

-0.25%

5

Barossa - Angaston

53km northeast

7.20%

19.63%

Yankalilla leads with 11.63% annual growth, while Yorke Peninsula coastal towns capture young relocators, with Wallaroo posting 8.31% growth and Moonta recording 7.75%. Wallaroo, just 160km north of Adelaide, offers swimming, fishing and coastal lifestyle at accessible prices.

Barossa-Angaston's 7.20% annual growth building on 19.63% over five years confirms wine regions offer both lifestyle appeal and employment opportunities that resonate with younger buyers seeking affordability outside Adelaide.

Tasmania: Island Living and Heritage Towns

Tasmania's heritage areas and island communities continue attracting young relocators, with Forestier-Tasman's 35.04% five-year surge demonstrating appeal extends well beyond Hobart's immediate surrounds. Regional Tasmania sits at 81% of Hobart's median price, the highest regional-to-capital ratio nationally.

Top 5 Tasmania regional areas with surging 20-29 populations:

Area

Location (from Hobart)

1 Year Change

5 Year Change

1

Bruny Island - Kettering

52km south

9.09%

17.92%

2

Derwent Valley

65km northwest

9.01%

28.72%

3

Forestier - Tasman

160km east

8.19%

35.04%

4

Longford

142km north

4.87%

13.26%

5

Cygnet

36km southwest

2.59%

4.09%

Bruny Island-Kettering and Derwent Valley lead with over 9% annual growth, offering island lifestyle and heritage town appeal within an hour of Hobart. Forestier-Tasman's 35.04% five-year increase shows sustained demand for coastal communities despite greater distance from the capital.

Even with regional Tasmania at 81% of Hobart's median price, the relative affordability compared to mainland capitals is drawing young Australians seeking island lifestyle at accessible price points while maintaining reasonable proximity to employment centres.

Northern Territory: Sustained Growth Across Remote Communities

The Northern Territory demonstrates consistent young population growth across its vast regional areas, with Ross leading at 12.53% annual growth. The Territory's growth is more geographically dispersed than southern states, reflecting unique settlement patterns across remote communities.

Top 5 NT regional areas with surging 20-29 populations:

Area

Location (from Darwin)

1 Year Change

5 Year Change

1

Ross

1,296km southeast

12.53%

19.53%

2

Tennant Creek

868km southeast

5.82%

1.75%

3

Anindilyakwa

639km east

4.98%

16.37%

4

Daly

53km east

3.77%

6.99%

5

Flynn

1,290km south

3.34%

11.81%

Ross's sustained 19.53% five-year growth demonstrates that even extreme remoteness doesn't deter young Australians seeking opportunity and affordability. Tennant Creek, 868km southeast of Darwin, recorded 5.82% annual growth, while Daly just 53km from the capital posted 3.77% growth.

The breadth of growth across the Territory reflects employment opportunities and lifestyle appeal spread across vast distances rather than concentrated in single hotspots, with Flynn's 11.81% five-year increase showing sustained momentum in the Territory's south.

Where this lands

This mass migration of young Australians signals a long-term restructuring of the nation's demographic and economic landscape. For regional communities, the influx brings economic revitalization, supporting local businesses and reversing decades of youth exodus, but also risks importing capital city housing pressures to previously affordable areas, Caloundra's 70.84% five-year population surge suggests affordability advantages may be temporary.

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